Monday, March 9, 2009

30 A's in 30 Days – Matt Holliday

Acquired: Traded from Colorado Rockies for Huston Street, Greg Smith & Carlos Gonzalez (November 12, 2008).
Contract: Two years ($23M, total) thru 2009.
Position: Starting LF

Projected BA/OBP/SLG: (.286/.357/.479)

Over/Under: It's his contract year. He's changing leagues. He's leaving Coors Field. He's in his prime. There are some good – and some not-so-good – arguments out there as the basis for projecting Holliday's 2009 numbers. I just can't shake this feeling that most of the "he's gonna be fine" talk is coming from the usual lemmings who think GM/messiah Billy Beane can do no wrong. Y'know, Beane DID trade Tim Hudson for three sacks of crap. And, he signed ciphers like Terrence Long and Bobby Crosby to long-term deals. Just sayin'. Take the UNDER.

By the Numbers: .265 – The difference in Holliday's career home (1.068) and road (.803) OPS during his Rockies career. Outside of Denver, he put up numbers that, last year, would've wedged him between Florida's Cody Ross (.804 OPS) and Philadelphia's Shane Victorino (.799) among big league outfielders.

Surefire '09 Prediction: This will be Holliday's first and last season with the Oakland A's. (Oh, don't look at me like that. I've got to at least get ONE of these right or else I lose all credibility as a blogger. And, if there's one thing us bloggers will NOT compromise, it's our credibility.)

1 comment:

daedalus said...

i think he can either meet or exceed the first two but i would have to agree with the UNDER on the slugging.